Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Barnsley
37.4%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Barnsley
vs
0.59
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS24.2%
Over 0.575.5%
Over 1.540.1%
Over 2.516.4%
Over 3.55.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.5%
1-0
20.3%
0-1
15.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
4.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
3-0
2.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).