Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Parma
27.6%
Draw
23.7%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Parma
vs
1.03
Como
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).