Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.7%
Rochdale
14.1%
Draw
5.2%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Rochdale
vs
0.54
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).