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AHT: 12CSV

14 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.7%
Rotherham
29.1%
Draw
48.2%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Rotherham

vs
1.43

Preston

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).