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HHT: 20CSV

10 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.8%
Granada
28.4%
Draw
18.8%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Granada

vs
0.67

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.2%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).