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AHT: 03CSV

04 Feb 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Reims
27.5%
Draw
47.7%
Toulouse

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Reims

vs
1.27

Toulouse

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).