⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

05 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
32.8%
Asteras Tripolis
31.7%
Draw
35.4%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Asteras Tripolis

vs
1.12

Panionios

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).