Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Ternana
28.6%
Draw
23.1%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Ternana
vs
0.96
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).