Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Cosenza
31.3%
Draw
38.0%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Cosenza
vs
1.20
Spezia
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).