Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Southampton
13.9%
Draw
5.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Southampton
vs
0.61
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
3-0
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).