Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.4%
Middlesbrough
30.9%
Draw
56.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Middlesbrough
vs
1.30
Burnley
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.4%
0-0
18.0%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
0-4
2.0%
2-0
1.9%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).