Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Motor Lublin
23.7%
Draw
22.7%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Motor Lublin
vs
1.21
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).