Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Herne Bay
41.1%
Draw
24.7%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Herne Bay
vs
0.52
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS19.7%
Over 0.570.2%
Over 1.533.4%
Over 2.512.0%
Over 3.53.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
29.8%
1-0
20.7%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
3-0
1.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
0-3
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).