Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Leeds
31.2%
Draw
35.9%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Leeds
vs
1.23
Everton
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).