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22 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.0%
Celtic
21.3%
Draw
19.6%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Celtic

vs
1.17

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).