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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Laverstock & Ford
20.7%
Draw
33.7%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Laverstock & Ford

vs
1.73

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS71.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).