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DHT: 01CSV

29 Jun 2020 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.9%
Salernitana
30.9%
Draw
45.2%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Salernitana

vs
1.30

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).