Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.5%
Alverca
15.4%
Draw
79.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Alverca
vs
2.37
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.1%
0-1
13.2%
0-3
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).