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AHT: 02CSV

12 Dec 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.8%
Alaves
32.3%
Draw
31.9%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Alaves

vs
0.88

Levante

Markets

BTTS35.7%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.9%
1-0
15.4%
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).