Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Atalanta
21.5%
Draw
13.5%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Atalanta
vs
0.68
Brescia
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).