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27 Nov 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.2%
Schalke 04
24.8%
Draw
12.9%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Schalke 04

vs
0.68

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).