Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Bromsgrove Sporting
33.8%
Draw
24.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.74
Porto
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.3%
1-0
16.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).