Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.6%
Boavista
13.1%
Draw
82.4%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Boavista
vs
2.61
Benfica
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.3%
0-3
13.3%
0-1
11.4%
0-4
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
1-1
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
0-5
4.6%
1-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).