Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Marseille
18.0%
Draw
21.0%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Marseille
vs
1.36
Lorient
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
5.0%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.6%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).