Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Zaragoza
34.2%
Draw
41.5%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Zaragoza
vs
0.96
Alaves
Markets
BTTS29.6%
Over 0.580.3%
Over 1.548.0%
Over 2.522.1%
Over 3.58.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.7%
0-1
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.0%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).