Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Spartak Moskva
18.3%
Draw
4.1%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.32
Fakel
Markets
BTTS24.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
19.7%
1-0
18.6%
3-0
13.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
5-0
2.7%
0-1
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).