Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Watford
30.6%
Draw
24.4%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Watford
vs
0.87
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).