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10 Nov 2024 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Stal Mielec
22.0%
Draw
22.3%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Stal Mielec

vs
1.33

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS66.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).