Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Rochdale
21.8%
Draw
16.6%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Rochdale
vs
0.73
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).