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02 Jun 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Lugo
24.1%
Draw
63.3%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Lugo

vs
1.60

Levante

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.7%
0-2
14.9%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
8.0%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
0-4
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
1-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).