Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Sevilla
24.9%
Draw
26.4%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Sevilla
vs
1.15
Leganes
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).