Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Granada
24.7%
Draw
35.1%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Granada
vs
1.37
Castellon
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).