⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 02CSV

19 Mar 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.5%
Auxerre
24.2%
Draw
38.4%
Toulouse

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Auxerre

vs
1.33

Toulouse

Markets

BTTS52.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).