Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Valencia
18.6%
Draw
67.6%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Valencia
vs
2.30
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).