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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Falmouth Town
23.5%
Draw
43.4%
Bideford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Falmouth Town

vs
1.60

Bideford

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).