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07 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
St Mirren
28.6%
Draw
33.0%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

St Mirren

vs
1.17

Dundee

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).