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AHT: 12CSV

23 Apr 2023 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Kasimpasa
34.6%
Draw
31.5%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Kasimpasa

vs
1.15

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.5%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).