Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Crotone
32.4%
Draw
31.8%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Crotone
vs
1.02
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).