Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Modena
30.0%
Draw
16.7%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Modena
vs
0.66
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).