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DHT: 11CSV

08 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Orleans
35.6%
Draw
38.5%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Orleans

vs
0.82

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS24.5%
Over 0.576.9%
Over 1.540.7%
Over 2.517.3%
Over 3.55.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.1%
0-1
20.6%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
0-3
2.2%
2-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
3-0
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).