Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Southampton
25.2%
Draw
17.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Southampton
vs
0.88
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).