Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.4%
Hamburg
16.3%
Draw
13.3%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Hamburg
vs
1.26
Dresden
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.578.3%
Over 3.559.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
5.0%
4-0
4.6%
1-0
4.0%
4-2
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).