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26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Kortrijk
25.1%
Draw
48.8%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Kortrijk

vs
1.72

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).