Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Brighton
27.7%
Draw
33.1%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Brighton
vs
1.40
Man United
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).