Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Lille
22.2%
Draw
38.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Lille
vs
1.68
Marseille
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-0
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).