Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
West Brom
29.9%
Draw
36.8%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
West Brom
vs
1.21
Watford
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).