Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Vallecano
31.2%
Draw
28.9%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Vallecano
vs
0.89
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).