Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.4%
Porto
17.7%
Draw
5.9%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Porto
vs
0.45
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS32.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.2%
1-0
15.5%
3-0
12.3%
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-0
2.8%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).