Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Southampton
24.1%
Draw
60.5%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Southampton
vs
1.97
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-0
3.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).