Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Grimsby
23.8%
Draw
15.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Grimsby
vs
0.65
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).